A few days ago I was terrified for the wrong reason. Story after story on CNN, NPR, and most other center and center-left outfits was explaining that Joe Biden’s victory in the 2020 Presidential election was a lock.

But it was only a lock because, in terms of the United States Congress, Democrats hold the House of Representatives and also because there are not enough Republicans willing to break norms in the Senate to casually throw out 81 million popular votes (or, more to the point, the subset of 37 Electoral College votes necessary to put the Biden-Harris ticket below…

“How did this almost go wrong?” This is the question many American liberals are asking themselves in the aftermath of the razor-thin Biden-Harris victory that left us on the harrowing edge of Donald Trump getting a second term that, without his need to worry about reelection, would probably have been appreciably nastier than the first, which, in fairness, was already pretty gross. I get it. I shared your perpetual surprise once— as recently as 2016, in fact.

But my thinking on the matter has changed a lot in the interim, and the change has mainly involved modelling how people think…

Jeremy Smyczek

English teacher at tiny liberal arts school, appallingly unskilled songwriter and musician, uncool Rolling Stones fankid, beagle enthusiast.

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